The future of Tasmania’s proposed Macquarie Point AFL stadium has been cast into doubt after the Tasmanian Planning Commission (TPC) recommended the project should not proceed, citing significant financial and planning concerns.
Following a 12-month inquiry, the TPC concluded the stadium, initially costed at $974 million and now estimated at $1.13 billion, would rise to $1.8 billion over 10 years. The commission warned the project would deliver less than half its value in direct returns, with a cost-benefit ratio below 0.5, equating to an additional $5,900 burden per Tasmanian household not reliant on Commonwealth income support.
The report was equally critical of the proposed site, describing the design as “monolithic” and incompatible with Hobart’s landscape, heritage and urban character. Beyond financial risks, the TPC suggested the venue would have limited utility outside major events, undermining its case as a long-term community asset.
Despite these findings, Premier Jeremy Rockliff reaffirmed the government’s commitment, arguing the TPC “massively underestimates” the wider social and cultural benefits tied to securing AFL and AFLW licences for Tasmania. He signalled the government would proceed with legislation to parliament later this year, with additional conditions attached.
The recommendation is not binding, and approval will ultimately rest with Tasmania’s parliament. While both the Liberal government and Labor opposition support the project, the outcome hinges on three independents in the upper house. Elwick MLC Bec Thomas has urged the government to take time in considering the findings, highlighting the political delicacy of the decision.
Commercial Perspective
The stadium represents a strategic requirement under Tasmania’s deal with the AFL. Without the venue, the state’s entry into the league could face complications, raising questions about whether the government will seek to renegotiate terms.
For stakeholders, including broadcasters, sponsors, and the AFL itself, the uncertainty introduces risk around Tasmania’s timeline to field a men’s and women’s team.
Public opinion remains deeply divided. Some argue the venue could drive tourism and investment, while opponents, including advocacy group Our Place, have described it as financially reckless and culturally damaging. The Greens have called for the stadium plan to be abandoned in favour of a revised AFL agreement.
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